Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022561 0.024244 0.025998 0.027963 0.030105 0.032374 0.034960
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.019798 0.022226 0.024888 0.028033 0.031658 0.035719 0.040632
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.018115 0.021016 0.024325 0.028395 0.033296 0.039037 0.046321
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.016512 0.019658 0.023358 0.028060 0.033923 0.041049 0.050455
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.015338 0.018666 0.022683 0.027934 0.034683 0.043154 0.054735
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014248 0.017668 0.021891 0.027547 0.035012 0.044652 0.058250
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013507 0.017042 0.021498 0.027603 0.035863 0.046821 0.062746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012691 0.016256 0.020834 0.027230 0.036080 0.048106 0.066061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011903 0.015455 0.020091 0.026686 0.035997 0.048931 0.068728
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011305 0.014869 0.019594 0.026434 0.036280 0.050255 0.072171
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010758 0.014320 0.019113 0.026163 0.036500 0.051471 0.075503
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010159 0.013668 0.018451 0.025590 0.036230 0.051926 0.077662
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009864 0.013430 0.018361 0.025843 0.037205 0.054317 0.083062
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009513 0.013095 0.018116 0.025849 0.037799 0.056153 0.087698
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009280 0.012916 0.018083 0.026166 0.038878 0.058799 0.093859
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008888 0.012486 0.017660 0.025859 0.038952 0.059829 0.097332
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008575 0.012160 0.017373 0.025743 0.039316 0.061339 0.101734
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008221 0.011756 0.016951 0.025392 0.039271 0.062152 0.104937
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007992 0.011532 0.016789 0.025442 0.039883 0.064102 0.110341
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007682 0.011169 0.016400 0.025104 0.039820 0.064878 0.113603
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007352 0.010765 0.015930 0.024610 0.039462 0.065106 0.115827
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007103 0.010477 0.015629 0.024381 0.039545 0.066115 0.119626
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006864 0.010196 0.015328 0.024134 0.039581 0.067034 0.123304